Publication detail

Fuzzy Logic Based Short_Term Electric Load Forecasting

KHAN, M. ŽÁK, L. ONDRŮŠEK, Č.

Czech title

Využití fuzzy logiky pro předpověď elekrického odběru

English title

Fuzzy Logic Based Short_Term Electric Load Forecasting

Type

conference paper

Language

en

Original abstract

This paper describes the implementation of fuzzy logic model and fuzzy set theory for short-term load forecasting. The proposed technique utilizes fuzzy rules to incorporate historical weather and load data. The strengths of this powerful technique lie in its ability to forecast accurately on weekdays, weekends and public holidays. The use of fuzzy logic effectively handles the load variations due to special events. The fuzzy logic has been extensively tested on actual data obtained from the Czech Electric Power Company (ČEZ) for 24-hour ahead prediction. Test results indicate that the fuzzy rule base can produce results better in accuracy than artificial neural networks (ANNs) method.

Czech abstract

Není

English abstract

This paper describes the implementation of fuzzy logic model and fuzzy set theory for short-term load forecasting. The proposed technique utilizes fuzzy rules to incorporate historical weather and load data. The strengths of this powerful technique lie in its ability to forecast accurately on weekdays, weekends and public holidays. The use of fuzzy logic effectively handles the load variations due to special events. The fuzzy logic has been extensively tested on actual data obtained from the Czech Electric Power Company (ČEZ) for 24-hour ahead prediction. Test results indicate that the fuzzy rule base can produce results better in accuracy than artificial neural networks (ANNs) method.

Keywords in English

Short-term average and seasonal load forecasting, artificial neural networks (ANN).

RIV year

2001

Released

22.05.2001

Publisher

n

Location

Žilina, SR

ISBN

80-7100-836-2

Book

ELEKTRO 2001, 4th International Scientific Conference

Pages count

6

BIBTEX


@inproceedings{BUT3900,
  author="Muhammad R {Khan} and Libor {Žák} and Čestmír {Ondrůšek},
  title="Fuzzy Logic Based Short_Term Electric Load Forecasting",
  booktitle="ELEKTRO 2001, 4th International Scientific Conference",
  year="2001",
  month="May",
  publisher="n",
  address="Žilina, SR",
  isbn="80-7100-836-2"
}